Exit polls point to an NDA comeback in Bihar, with Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) projected to make notable seat gains across the state.
Bihar Exit Polls Hint at NDA Comeback
If the exit polls are any indication, the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections are turning into a comeback story for the NDA. As counting day nears, the big headline everyone’s watching is how well Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) performs this time.
This election saw record-breaking voter turnout — a sign of how charged the political atmosphere in Bihar has become. After the second phase of polling wrapped up on November 11, five major survey agencies released their projections, and the numbers are looking promising for the NDA camp.
LJP Ram Vilas: The Rising Star of NDA
Among the most watched parties this season is Chirag Paswan’s LJP Ram Vilas, which contested 29 seats (with one nomination later rejected). Exit polls suggest that the young leader might finally be stepping out of his father’s shadow and carving his own political identity within the NDA fold.
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Here’s how five agencies have rated LJP’s performance so far:
- Chanakya: 14–19 seats
- Poll Diary: 12–16 seats
- TIF Research: 12–14 seats
- Polstrat: 9–12 seats
- Matrize-IANS: 7–9 seats
If these numbers hold on counting day, Chirag Paswan’s party could emerge as a key power player within the NDA alliance — potentially even a dealmaker in post-poll equations.
From Lone Fighter to Key Ally
Back in 2020, Chirag took a big gamble by going solo. His party contested 135 seats, aiming to play kingmaker. But things didn’t go as planned — LJP managed to win just one seat (Matihani), barely making a dent in the final outcome.
This time, though, the story’s different. By rejoining hands with the NDA, Paswan has played his cards smartly. With strong backing from the BJP and renewed public sentiment, his party seems to have regained lost ground in a big way.
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What This Means for Bihar Politics
If the exit polls are right, the NDA looks all set for another term — and Chirag Paswan’s LJP Ram Vilas could walk away as one of the biggest gainers of the election. His sharp campaigning style, emotional connect with youth, and consistent branding around “Bihar first, Bihari best” appear to have struck the right chord.
All that’s left now is counting day, when the numbers will finally tell if this comeback story turns into political reality.


